Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.181013 0.215250 0.253679 0.299935 0.354027 0.415202 0.489558
2025-05-11 0.128023 0.171061 0.224745 0.296316 0.388897 0.504239 0.658423
2025-05-18 0.095887 0.139996 0.199575 0.285308 0.404778 0.564503 0.793200
2025-05-25 0.073845 0.116213 0.177404 0.271245 0.410311 0.607299 0.905555
2025-06-01 0.062563 0.105031 0.169990 0.275154 0.439312 0.683386 1.070541
2025-06-08 0.051074 0.091094 0.155671 0.265597 0.445584 0.725313 1.188198
2025-06-15 0.045048 0.084800 0.152066 0.271755 0.476117 0.806236 1.372938
2025-06-22 0.039362 0.077995 0.146373 0.273217 0.498462 0.875642 1.545559
2025-06-29 0.033887 0.070560 0.138337 0.269190 0.510409 0.928354 1.694942
2025-07-06 0.029388 0.064165 0.131144 0.265450 0.521929 0.980791 1.848156
2025-07-13 0.027254 0.062099 0.131735 0.276171 0.560776 1.084598 2.101380
2025-07-20 0.026413 0.062567 0.137284 0.297066 0.620923 1.232337 2.447641
2025-07-27 0.024377 0.060321 0.137445 0.308091 0.664975 1.357962 2.771933
2025-08-03 0.021343 0.055317 0.131166 0.305119 0.681066 1.432823 3.009052
2025-08-10 0.018145 0.049297 0.121699 0.293864 0.678422 1.470309 3.176358
2025-08-17 0.015236 0.043393 0.111511 0.279409 0.666856 1.488077 3.305049
2025-08-24 0.013862 0.041152 0.109529 0.283429 0.696247 1.593393 3.624466
2025-08-31 0.011916 0.036980 0.102178 0.273602 0.692909 1.628498 3.798356
2025-09-07 0.011022 0.035557 0.101493 0.279934 0.727842 1.750183 4.170896
2025-09-14 0.010005 0.033574 0.099039 0.281437 0.751335 1.848530 4.500851
2025-09-21 0.008879 0.031027 0.094660 0.277297 0.760411 1.914755 4.764268
2025-09-28 0.007903 0.028738 0.090616 0.273451 0.769703 1.982261 5.036796
2025-10-05 0.007531 0.028340 0.091917 0.284474 0.818667 2.148892 5.557741